AI in Warfare: Technology, Ethics, and India’s Strategic Perspective
Explore the transformative impact of AI on modern warfare, from autonomous weapons to human-machine teaming. Delve into the ethical dilemmas, legal debates, and India's strategic approach to leveraging AI for defense while ensuring responsible deployment.
DEFENCE INSIGHTS
S Navin
4/2/20258 min read
The Rise of AI: Where Technology Meets Intelligence
AI – The Evolution of a Game-Changing Technology
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is no longer a futuristic fantasy—it’s here, evolving rapidly and reshaping industries. At its core, AI enables machines to perform tasks requiring human-like intelligence, including perception, decision-making, and problem-solving. To function effectively, AI relies on three fundamental elements: the brain (software algorithms), the body (hardware), and the mind (computing power). As these components advance, AI is reaching new heights, making unprecedented strides across various fields.
AI, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning: The Power Trio
The relationship between AI, Machine Learning (ML), and Deep Learning (DL) can be visualized as concentric circles. AI forms the broadest circle, encompassing ML and DL within it.
AI refers to any technology that mimics human intelligence.
ML, a subset of AI, enables computers to adapt and improve based on data patterns.
DL, an advanced subset of ML, leverages multi-layered neural networks to enhance learning, inspired by the human brain.
A breakthrough moment for AI occurred when Google DeepMind’s AlphaGo defeated a world champion in the complex board game Go, demonstrating the immense potential of deep learning.
The Titans of AI Technology
AI is progressing at an astonishing rate, with innovations in natural language processing, speech recognition, decision management, and robotic process automation. Leading the charge are tech giants like:
Google (AlphaGo, Deep Learning)
Facebook (AI-driven algorithms)
IBM (Watson, cognitive computing)
Microsoft (AI-powered applications)
Toyota (Autonomous vehicle technology)
Baidu (Pioneering AI research in China)
What’s Next? The Future of AI
While today’s AI is excelling in image recognition, speech processing, and automation, the future holds even more promise. The next frontier? Machines that can reason, infer, and seamlessly interact with humans, making AI indistinguishable from human intelligence. The ultimate goal is for AI systems to integrate seamlessly into daily life, transforming everything from healthcare to defense.
The Turing Test: The Ultimate Benchmark
Proposed by Alan Turing in 1951, the Turing Test remains a gold standard for AI intelligence. It challenges whether a machine can convincingly mimic human responses in conversation. Although no AI system has fully passed the test yet, experts predict it’s only a matter of time before a machine achieves this milestone.
The AI Fear Factor: Should We Worry?
The fear that AI could become too intelligent and take over humanity is fueled more by sci-fi than reality. While concerns about AI misuse exist, the idea of machines outsmarting and overthrowing civilization is largely unfounded. Engineers and researchers working closely with AI understand its limitations and potential for responsible use. Like any transformative technology, AI’s impact depends on how we harness it.
AI in Military Operations: The Future of Warfare
AI – A Revolution in Military Affairs (RMA)?
Robotic systems are no longer science fiction—they are a battlefield reality. From autonomous surveillance drones to AI-driven missile defense systems, the rise of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS) is transforming military strategy. These advanced systems can search, detect, evaluate, track, engage, and even conduct kill assessments without human intervention. As their sophistication grows, AI and robotics are poised to trigger a new era of warfare, reshaping military power and strategy.
Defining LAWS: The Unresolved Debate
Despite their rapid development, defining what truly constitutes an autonomous weapon remains controversial. Two major perspectives shape this debate:
US Department of Defense (DoD): Defines autonomous weapons as systems that can "select and engage targets without further human intervention." However, under this definition, even weapons that autonomously destroy an entire enemy force after being programmed by a human could still be classified as "semi-autonomous."
Human Rights Watch (HRW): Advocates a stricter stance, defining fully autonomous weapons as those operating "without Meaningful Human Control (MHC)." However, the absence of a clear consensus on what qualifies as MHC leaves room for ambiguity.
Narrow AI: The Evolutionary Path to Military AI
Rather than focusing solely on full autonomy, military strategists are leveraging AI to enhance the existing combat force—a concept known as "Narrow AI." This includes:
Threat Detection: AI-powered image recognition to identify threats in real-time.
Logistics Optimization: Predicting supply bottlenecks to improve efficiency.
Automation: Reducing manpower for administrative tasks, freeing up human resources for combat roles.
Narrow AI is enabling defense forces to restructure, enhancing combat effectiveness while improving the teeth-to-tail ratio of modern militaries.
Centaur Warfare: Human-Machine Teaming
The future of AI in combat isn’t about replacing soldiers but empowering them. "Human-machine teaming" envisions a battlefield where AI and humans work in perfect sync, leveraging each other’s strengths. Like the mythical centaur, this approach blends machine speed and precision with human intuition and adaptability.
Some tasks—such as missile defense lasers or cybersecurity—must be fully automated due to the sheer speed of modern threats. However, in most scenarios, AI will act as an intelligent assistant, processing vast amounts of data to provide real-time insights, allowing human operators to make more informed, strategic decisions.
LAWS: The Ethical and Legal Minefield
The rise of autonomous weapons has sparked intense ethical and legal debates, with human rights organizations calling for their outright ban. Key concerns include:
Principle of Distinction: AI must differentiate between civilian and military targets (Article 51(4)(b) of Additional Protocol I of the Geneva Convention).
Principle of Proportionality: AI-controlled attacks must weigh civilian harm against military advantage (Articles 51(5)(b) and 57(2)(iii) of Additional Protocol I).
Legal Review: New weapons must comply with international humanitarian law (Article 36 of Additional Protocol I).
Marten’s Clause & The "Killer Robots" Debate
The Marten’s Clause states that "in cases not covered by existing law, humans remain under the protection of the principles of humanity and public conscience." This has fueled the "Campaign to Stop Killer Robots," a movement led by HRW, arguing that AI-driven weapons will never achieve the subjective ethical judgment required by international law. They call for an immediate ban on their development before it’s too late.
The Counterargument: AI as a Force for Good?
Not everyone agrees with banning LAWS. Advocates argue that AI-powered weapons could actually reduce battlefield casualties and enhance ethical conduct. Key arguments include:
Self-sacrificing AI: Unlike human soldiers, AI systems don’t need self-preservation, reducing unnecessary loss of life.
Emotion-Free Decision-Making: AI lacks emotions that can cloud human judgment, potentially leading to more precise engagements.
Objective Monitoring: AI could be programmed to uphold ethical battlefield behavior.
Superior Sensory Perception: Future AI-driven sensors may outperform human capabilities, reducing errors.
Safe Application in Naval Warfare: Autonomous weapons could be deployed where civilian casualties are minimal or nonexistent.
Legal Status Depends on Use, Not Existence: The ethical debate should focus on responsible deployment rather than banning the technology outright.
Premature Regulation: The technology is still evolving, making it too soon to impose definitive legal restrictions.
AI in Military Operations: The Global Race for Autonomous Warfare
The Rise of Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS)
The battlefield is evolving, and AI-powered military technology is at the forefront. Several nations have already deployed near-autonomous defensive systems capable of intercepting incoming threats, while offensive autonomous weapons are on the horizon. The lines between offense and defense are blurring as AI-driven precision systems redefine modern combat.
Missile defense systems like Israel’s Iron Dome and the US Navy’s Phalanx Close-In Weapon System showcase advanced autonomy in defensive operations. Meanwhile, fire-and-forget weapons such as the UK’s Brimstone missile system and Israel’s Harpy Air Defense Suppression System bring AI-enabled lethality to the battlefield. South Korea has deployed SGR-A1 sentry robots in the demilitarized zone, and Norway’s upcoming Joint Strike Missile is poised to hunt and destroy targets without human intervention.
The US Defense Strategy: AI at the Core of Military Dominance
The United States is placing AI at the heart of its military supremacy efforts. In 2014, then-Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel launched the Third Offset Strategy, mirroring past strategic shifts—the nuclear deterrent buildup of the 1950s (First Offset) and the precision-guided warfare advancements of the 1970s (Second Offset). As part of this initiative, the Pentagon is dedicating $18 billion towards futuristic warfare technologies, focusing on robotics, autonomous systems, cyber warfare, and human-machine collaboration. This heavy investment underscores the Pentagon’s belief that AI is the key to maintaining global military superiority.
China’s AI-Powered Military Ambitions
China is aggressively pursuing AI-driven military capabilities, recognizing autonomous warfare as a game-changer. In August last year, state-run China Daily revealed that Beijing is developing a next-gen AI-powered cruise missile—a direct challenge to the US’s Long Range Anti-Ship Missile (LRASM). Chinese strategists believe AI and unmanned systems are revolutionizing combat, leading to a surge in robotics research across China’s defense industry and academic institutions.
With AI research officially designated as a national priority, China is fostering seamless integration between civilian and military AI advancements. This dual-use approach is rapidly positioning China as a formidable force in the global AI arms race.
AI in Military Operations – The Indian Perspective
Artificial Intelligence (AI), robotics, and Lethal Autonomous Weapon Systems (LAWS) are rapidly reshaping the battlefield. Yet, in India, these advancements have not yet become central to military doctrine or strategic planning. With modernization challenges and operational priorities dominating the agenda, the AI revolution in warfare is still in its infancy. However, the time for change is now. India must embrace AI-driven defense strategies to stay ahead in 21st-century warfare.
Battlefield Applications: Where AI Can Make a Difference
India’s military landscape presents numerous scenarios where AI-powered autonomous systems can be game-changers. As AI technology evolves, the scope for deployment expands, ranging from defensive applications to full-scale offensive capabilities:
1. Anti-IED Operations
Autonomous robots capable of detecting and disarming Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) are already in limited use. Further advancements in AI can make these systems more effective, reducing risks to human bomb disposal units.
2. Swarm Surveillance Drones
AI-enabled drone swarms, unlike traditional manually piloted UAVs, can autonomously patrol borders and sensitive areas, drastically enhancing surveillance. These “non-lethal” systems can support both defensive and offensive missions.
3. Robot Sentries
Inspired by South Korea’s SGR-A1 sentry robots, India can deploy AI-powered robotic sentries along critical borders such as the International Border (IB) and the Line of Control (LoC). These systems would act as the first line of defense, operating in high-risk zones with minimal human intervention.
4. Autonomous Armed UAVs & USVs
Currently, India relies on remotely piloted armed drones. However, the future lies in fully autonomous UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) and USVs (Unmanned Surface Vehicles) capable of detecting, tracking, and eliminating threats with minimal human input. These systems will be lethal and offensive in nature.
5. Land-Based Offensive Robot Soldiers
While robotic infantry units or “killer robots” remain a futuristic concept, technological advancements could soon make them a reality. These AI-powered combat systems would revolutionize land-based warfare, providing superior firepower and battlefield endurance.
6. AI in Counter-Insurgency (CI) Operations
Deploying robots in counter-insurgency operations presents a unique challenge. These machines would need to distinguish adversaries from civilians and demonstrate human-like ethical decision-making—a technological hurdle that some believe may never be fully overcome, while others predict breakthroughs within this century.
India’s Position on LAWS at the UN
India has taken a cautious stance in global discussions on LAWS, balancing its future security interests with diplomatic considerations. At the UN Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW) in 2016, India stressed the need to strengthen regulations while ensuring that the technology gap among nations does not widen. This stance reflects India’s pragmatic approach—advocating responsible AI governance while securing its own defense interests.
The Road Ahead: India’s AI Defense Strategy
Despite ethical debates surrounding AI in warfare, the global race for military AI supremacy continues unabated. China has aggressively invested in AI-driven defense technologies, while Pakistan is likely to benefit from its strategic partnership with Beijing. If India wants to maintain its military edge, it must act decisively.
To stay competitive, India must:
Foster Public-Private Partnerships: Collaboration between the Defense Research and Development Organisation (DRDO), private tech firms, and academic institutions is crucial for rapid AI advancements.
Leverage U.S. Partnership: Strengthening defense ties with the U.S. can help India gain access to cutting-edge AI and autonomous warfare technologies.
Invest in Indigenous AI R&D: Reducing dependence on foreign tech and prioritizing domestic innovation will ensure long-term strategic autonomy.
The AI revolution is here, and warfare is evolving at an unprecedented pace. India cannot afford to be a passive observer. The future of warfare will be defined by those who lead the AI arms race—and India must ensure that it is among them.